Trading Performance Report ā March 03, 2026
March 2, 2026
Updated Mar 21, 2026
tradingperformancereport
š Trading Performance Report
Generated: March 03, 2026 at 11:05 PM PT Period: Jan 29 ā Mar 03, 2026 (paper trading inception to date)
Executive Summary
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Total Invested | $2,914.97 |
| Total P&L | -$69.61 |
| Overall ROI | -2.4% |
| Open Positions | 9 |
| Closed Positions | 7 |
| Win Rate (closed) | 28.6% |
| Active Strategies | 4 |
š“ Portfolio is underwater. Review strategy assumptions.
šØ Action Items
š” TWLO ā exits in 2 days (2026-03-05)
- P&L: $62.30 (+11.7%) | Strategy: PEAD
- š” Recommendation: Take profit at market open. +11.7% gain captured. š” AMAT ā exits in 2 days (2026-03-05)
- P&L: -$12.21 (-3.4%) | Strategy: PEAD
- š” Recommendation: Close at exit date per strategy rules. Small loss acceptable. š” ZTS ā exits in 2 days (2026-03-05)
- P&L: -$3.12 (-0.6%) | Strategy: PEAD
- š” Recommendation: Close at exit date per strategy rules. Small loss acceptable. š” ROKU ā exits in 3 days (2026-03-06)
- P&L: -$6.80 (-1.4%) | Strategy: PEAD
- š” Recommendation: Close at exit date per strategy rules. Small loss acceptable.
Strategy Breakdown
PEAD
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Positions | 6 (5 open, 1 closed) |
| Total Invested | $2,740.57 |
| Total P&L | -$75.21 |
| ROI | -2.7% |
| Win Rate (closed) | 0.0% (0W / 1L) |
| Projected WR (incl. open) | 16.7% |
| Avg Win | $0.00 |
| Avg Loss | -$115.38 |
| Profit Factor | 0.0 |
Open Positions:
- š¢ TWLO long ā $62.30 (+11.7%) | Exit: 2026-03-05
- š“ AMAT long ā -$12.21 (-3.4%) | Exit: 2026-03-05
- š“ ZTS long ā -$3.12 (-0.6%) | Exit: 2026-03-05
- š“ ROKU long ā -$6.80 (-1.4%) | Exit: 2026-03-06
- āŖ GLOB short ā $0.00 (+0.0%) | Exit: 2026-03-16 [QUEUED]
Closed Positions:
- š“ FROG ā -$115.38 (hard_stop_breach_5d)
Prediction Bias
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Positions | 3 (2 open, 1 closed) |
| Total Invested | $166.50 |
| Total P&L | $3.50 |
| ROI | +2.1% |
| Win Rate (closed) | 0.0% (0W / 1L) |
| Projected WR (incl. open) | 66.7% |
| Avg Win | $0.00 |
| Avg Loss | -$13.00 |
| Profit Factor | 0.0 |
Open Positions:
- š¢ BTC-150K-MAR26 yes ā $6.00 (+25.0%) | Resolves: 2026-03-31
- š¢ FED-CUT-MAR26 no ā $10.50 (+10.8%) | Resolves: 2026-03-19
Closed Positions:
- š“ SWIFT-SB-2026 ā -$13.00
Weather
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Positions | 4 (0 open, 4 closed) |
| Total Invested | $7.90 |
| Total P&L | $2.10 |
| ROI | +26.6% |
| Win Rate (closed) | 50.0% (2W / 2L) |
| Avg Win | $1.80 |
| Avg Loss | -$0.75 |
| Profit Factor | 2.4 |
Closed Positions:
- š“ KXHIGHCHI-26FEB11-T36 ā -$0.30 (loss)
- š“ KXHIGHDEN-26FEB11-T58 ā -$1.20 (loss)
- š¢ KXHIGHMIA-26FEB11-T79 ā $0.90 (win)
- š¢ KXHIGHNYC-26FEB11-B4041 ā $2.70 (win)
Forex
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Positions | 3 (2 open, 1 closed) |
| Total Invested | $0.00 |
| Total P&L | $0.00 |
| ROI | +0.0% |
| Win Rate (closed) | 0.0% (0W / 1L) |
| Avg Win | $0.00 |
| Avg Loss | $0.00 |
| Profit Factor | ā |
Open Positions:
- āŖ EURUSD long @ 1.085 | SL=1.08 TP=1.095
- āŖ GBPJPY short @ 188.5 | SL=189.2 TP=186.1
Closed Positions:
- š“ USDJPY ā $0.00
Key Insights
ā What's Working
- Prediction Bias is profitable ($3.50, +2.1% ROI)
- Weather is profitable ($2.10, +26.6% ROI)
- PEAD best performer: TWLO ($62.30)
- Weather NO bets: 2/2 wins ā 'nothing ever happens' thesis holds
- Weather YES bets: 0/2 wins ā ensemble confidence ā accuracy
ā What's Not Working
- PEAD is underwater (-$75.21)
- FROG was the only major loss ā hard stop auto-closed after 5 days of breach
š Recommendations
- Review PEAD exits (Mar 5-6) ā TWLO is profitable, AMAT/ZTS/ROKU are near breakeven or slightly down. Close all at target date per strategy rules.
- Scale prediction bias strategy ā 'nothing ever happens' thesis validated across weather and prediction markets. Consider increasing position sizes.
- Activate gun deals affiliate ā Sign up for AvantLink (fastest revenue path). 1,120 deals in DB, site deployed.
- Paper trade PEAD Round 2 ā Use gatekeeper scoring (Grade B+ minimum) and avoid single-stock concentration.
- Forex needs live price feeds ā 3 open positions without current pricing. Consider closing or properly monitoring.
š° Revenue Scorecard
| Revenue Stream | Status | Paper P&L | Real Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEAD Trading | Paper | -$75.21 | $0 |
| Prediction Bias | Paper | $3.50 | $0 |
| Weather Trading | Paper | $2.10 | $0 |
| Gun Deals Affiliate | Blocked | N/A | $0 (needs AvantLink signup) |
| Total Real Revenue | $0 |
š” Fastest path to $1: Gun deals affiliate. Everything else requires broker accounts + real capital.
Auto-generated by strategy_report.py ā run anytime for fresh data.