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22 documents

Block 2 Workout Program

Current Progress: Week 3, Friday (completed) --- | Exercise | Sets | Reps | Intensity | Weight | |----------|------|------|-----------|--------| | Squat | 1 | 1 | RPE5 | 285 | | Squat | 4 | 4 | 6...

Mar 21

$1K Bias Deployment Playbook

> You asked: "Where should I put $1K for 30 days?" > This is the answer. Built specifically for the bias strategy that went 7/7 in paper trading. Sell overpriced longshot YES contracts on Kalshi. O...

Mar 8

Trading Performance Report — March 03, 2026

Generated: March 03, 2026 at 11:05 PM PT Period: Jan 29 – Mar 03, 2026 (paper trading inception to date) | Metric | Value | |--------|-------| | Total Invested | $2,914.97 | | Total P&L | -$69.61 |...

Mar 2

Competitive Landscape — Marketplace Aggregator

Go/No-Go Verdict: Proceed with extreme caution. The idea is validated by demand but the graveyard is full. The marketplace aggregator space has a 15+ year history of attempts. The pattern is clear: u...

Feb 17

Distributed AI Inference Platform — Business Analysis

"SETI@home for AI" — harnessing idle consumer GPUs for AI inference --- - 2024 market size: ~$25–30B (inference accounts for ~60–70% of all AI compute spend) - 2030 projected: $100–150B+ (CAGR ~3...

Feb 15

IdleAI — Distributed Compute for AI Workloads

Tagline: "Earn money from your idle computer. Help democratize AI." Founder: Solo technical founder, bootstrapped. --- IdleAI is a distributed compute platform that turns idle consumer hardware i...

Feb 15

Portfolio Report

Open: 2 | Closed: 1 | Win Rate: 0/0 | P&L: $+0.00 | Ticker | Dir | Entry | Status | P&L | |--------|-----|-------|--------|-----| | EURUSD | LONG | 1.085 | 🟢 Open | $+0.00 | | GBPJPY | SHORT | 188.5...

Feb 12

PEAD Paper Trading

Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD): stocks that beat earnings estimates tend to drift upward for 20-60 days. We enter the day after a confirmed beat and hold for 20 days. - Location: /Users/cla...

Feb 11

Kalshi Weather Trading Bot

Trading bot for Kalshi weather prediction markets using open source weather data, ensemble forecast models, and genetic evolution to optimize strategies. Treat historical temperature data like finan...

Feb 9

Optimizing 15-Minute BTC Trading Signals for Kalshi

Research Date: February 5, 2026 Objective: Build a signal system that predicts whether BTC will be ABOVE or BELOW a specific cutoff price at the end of a 15-minute Kalshi window. --- 1. Executive...

Feb 4

Kalshi Crypto Markets - Short-Term Trading Research

Research compiled: Feb 5, 2026 Kalshi offers crypto prediction markets with multiple timeframes including 15-minute, hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual contracts. The 15-minute markets are ...

Feb 4

Quant & Hedge Fund Techniques for 15-Min Prediction Markets

Research compilation of quantitative trading techniques applicable to Kalshi 15-minute BTC up/down markets. Focused on techniques implementable by retail traders with public data. --- After analyz...

Feb 4

Flight Tracker - Cancún Feb 2026

Automated flight price monitoring for family Cancún trip. Cron: cancun-flight-tracker — Every hour, alerts only on best prices - Dates: February 15-20, 2026 - Route: SEA → CUN (Cancún) - Party: ...

Feb 3

Forex Swing Trading Strategy - Complete Guide

Strategy Name: Daily Support Swing (DSS) Status: ✅ Scanner Built, Ready for Paper Trading Location: /Users/claudia/clawd/forex/ --- After extensive backtesting, we identified a winning forex s...

Feb 3

Disney Trip Price Optimizer

Goal: Get a $7k Disney trip down to $5k (save $2k) | Item | Details | |------|---------| | Dates | April 5-9, 2026 (Spring Break) | | Location | Disneyland Resort, Anaheim | | Hotel | Pixar Place H...

Jan 31

Flight Tracker - Disney April 2026

Automated flight price monitoring for family Disney trip. Cron: disney-flight-monitor — 3x daily - Dates: April 2026 (spring break) - Party: 5 people (Roger + family, 3 kids) - Destination: Orla...

Jan 31

Prediction Market Bias Exploitation Strategy

Source: The Microstructure of Wealth Transfer in Prediction Markets by J. Becker Dataset: GitHub - 72.1M trades, $18.26B volume Unlike arbitrage (risk-free profit from price discrepancies), this s...

Jan 31

Gun Deals Scraper

Reddit r/gundeals scraper with fire ratings, web UI, and affiliate link system. Location: ~/clawd/gun-deals/ - Scrapes r/gundeals for new posts - Parses prices (including CPR for ammo) - Calcul...

Jan 28

Gun Deals Scraper

Goal: Scrape r/gundeals, score deals by historical value, monetize via affiliate links. Target: MVP in 2-3 days → First revenue within a week --- - [ ] Email/SMS alerts for 5-fire deals (premium...

Jan 28

Forex Swing Trading

Systematic swing trading strategy for forex pairs using daily timeframes. Location: ~/clawd/forex-signals/ - Timeframe: Daily candles only (1-hour = ~30% win rate, doesn't work) - Best Strategy...

Jan 27

Prediction Market Arbitrage

Cross-platform arbitrage scanner for Kalshi and Polymarket, plus paper trading system. Location: ~/clawd/prediction-arb/ Scans Kalshi and Polymarket for pricing discrepancies. Reality check (l...

Jan 27

Roger's Idea Backlog

Raw idea dump from July 16, 2025. Updated with progress as of January 29, 2026. --- Status: Phase 2 complete, backtesting Location: ~/clawd/forex-signals/ Findings: Support-Stop strategy on Daily...

Jul 15